Weekend Box Office Forecasts 7/20/2007 to 7/22/2007
OUR CRYSTAL BALLS SAY:
Harry Potter $36M
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry $30M
Hairspray $19.5M
Transformers $19M
Ratatouille $11M
Live Free or Die Hard $5.5M
License to Wed $4.5M
1408 $3M
Evan Almighty $2M
Knocked Up $2M
THE OTHER GUYS
BOX OFFICE GURU
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry $37M
Harry Potter $35M
Hairspray $19M
Ratatouille $12M
FANTASY MOGULS
1. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros.) — $40 million
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) — $35.7 million
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) — $22.5 million
4. Hairspray (New Line) — $21.75 million
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) — $11 million
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) — $7.1 million
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) — $4.1 million
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) — $3.5 million
9. Evan Almighty (Universal) — $2.9 million
10. Knocked Up (Universal) — $2.8 million
BOX OFFICE REPORT
1. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $38M
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $36M
4. Hairspray (New Line) - $23M
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $22M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $12M
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) - $7M
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) - $4.8M
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) - $3.2M
9. Evan Almighty (Universal) - $2.8M
10. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.5M
Box Office Mojo Derby Averages
1. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $39.2M
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $33.1M
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $21.4M
4. Hairspray (New Line) - $21M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $13M
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) - $7.6M
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) - $4.9M
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) - $3.5M
9. Evan Almighty (Universal) - $3M
10. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.7M
WORLD OF KJ
1. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $36M
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $34M
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $24M
3. Hairspray (New Line) - $24M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $13.5M
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) - $7.4M
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) - $5M
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) - $3M
9. Evan Almighty (Universal) - $2.7M
10. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.6M
BOX OFFICE PROPHETS
1. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $43.7M
2. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $32.4M
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $18.2M
4. Hairspray (New Line) - $13.8M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $11.7M
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) - $6.6M
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) - $4.3M
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) - $2.9M
9. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.3M
10. Sicko (Lionsgate/Weinstein) - $2.2M
COMING SOON
1. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $37.2M
2. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $36.2M
3. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $20M
4. Hairspray (New Line) - $18.8M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $11.6M
6. Live Free or Die Hard (Fox) - $6.8M
7. License to Wed (Warner Bros) - $4.7M
8. 1408 (MGM/Weinstein) - $2.8M
9. Knocked Up (Universal) - $2.5M
10. Evan Almighty (Universal) - $2.4M
ENTERTAINMENT WEEKLY
1. I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry (Universal) - $38M
2. Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix (Warner Bros) - $36M
3. Hairspray (New Line) - $22M
4. Transformers (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $20M
5. Ratatouille (Buena Vista) - $13M
SCREENS
Harry Potter 4,285 (0)
Transformers 3,762 (-288)
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry 3,495
Ratatouille 3,402 (-223)
Hairspray 3,121
Live Free or Die Hard 2,727 (-474)
License to Wed 2,525 (-190)
Evan Almighty 1,779 (-918)
1408 1,451 (-755)
Knocked Up 1,284 (-426)
Sicko 1,117 (+361)
New This Weekend
It what could be described as the gayest weekend ever in Hollywood history two new films featuring Hollywood hunks (yeah right) John Travolta, Kevin James and Adam Sandler are gay-themed. This would be a great time for a comeback by JM J Bullock.
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry - we are a bit conservative on how well we think this gay-themed movie will do. Not sure that audiences are in the mood for something of this nature or if all the comedic notes hit all the right spots. Our prediction is for a $30 million opening. Let’s see how far off that falls.
Hairspray - this is a cult classic musical and there has been lots of talk around the office about people dying to see this film as well as some positive early reviews. You couldn’t pay me to see this movie. But I am not the target demographic or am I? Just consider this though- TOOTSIE with Dustin Hoffman as an ugly older woman made $177 million back in the 1980’s and Martin Lawrence as an ugly older black woman made $118 million in the US alone not to mention the spawning of a sequel that was just as hideous as the first and made the studio lots of dough.
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